Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.627142 0.710292 0.798816 0.899909 1.011987 1.132263 1.270926
2025-09-21 0.505616 0.622694 0.756374 0.919589 1.112720 1.333169 1.603002
2025-09-28 0.401525 0.535354 0.698515 0.910355 1.176206 1.496730 1.910103
2025-10-05 0.344151 0.493399 0.686478 0.951252 1.301071 1.743178 2.339224
2025-10-12 0.297990 0.457291 0.675036 0.988933 1.423308 1.995728 2.798090
2025-10-19 0.252473 0.413826 0.646331 0.997719 1.505428 2.200769 3.210606
2025-10-26 0.214765 0.374953 0.617637 1.000994 1.577443 2.395213 3.621564
2025-11-02 0.183902 0.341130 0.590961 1.002350 1.644293 2.584898 4.037245
2025-11-09 0.158354 0.311442 0.566047 1.002092 1.706484 2.769949 4.456611
2025-11-16 0.137822 0.286746 0.545426 1.005152 1.772161 2.962625 4.897682
2025-11-23 0.118663 0.261145 0.519514 0.995624 1.815214 3.121535 5.295283
2025-11-30 0.106526 0.246744 0.511086 1.014241 1.904732 3.357595 5.825203
2025-12-07 0.091967 0.225265 0.487368 1.003892 1.945368 3.519706 6.251619
2025-12-14 0.081959 0.211522 0.476422 1.015371 2.024396 3.749624 6.801577
2025-12-21 0.070485 0.192414 0.452284 0.999070 2.051836 3.893854 7.217772
2025-12-28 0.065742 0.187905 0.457217 1.039400 2.185654 4.228271 7.972364
2026-01-04 0.061248 0.183174 0.460989 1.077526 2.317851 4.567186 8.752258
2026-01-11 0.054910 0.172607 0.450623 1.085379 2.392247 4.807035 9.371877
2026-01-18 0.048979 0.161904 0.438449 1.087897 2.455853 5.030293 9.972889
2026-01-25 0.043669 0.151786 0.426196 1.088727 2.515621 5.249151 10.576209
2026-02-01 0.038915 0.142237 0.413942 1.088060 2.571790 5.463718 11.181508
2026-02-08 0.034913 0.134045 0.403865 1.091104 2.635468 5.695432 11.828858
2026-02-15 0.030764 0.124432 0.388775 1.080718 2.669441 5.870965 12.378804